A written statement was released shortly afterward. However, the story kept heating up. You should do this as soon as possible. Is it just a coincidence? A while ago I received a postcard from them because they apparently did not have my email on file, inviting me to get in touch in order to get a 'petition id'. In the rare cases where numerical evidence was provided, it could have easily been explained by simple bad luck. So once the results of this investigation are completed, I will be happy to post them here.
January 15 Update
If you have already filed a claim, you need to go to this web site to provide the Garden City Group with your bank account information so they can send you the refund of your account balance. You should do this as soon as possible. RKuczek , Sep 2, I made the first deadline which was in June and have been informed that my cheque is in the mail. A while ago I received a postcard from them because they apparently did not have my email on file, inviting me to get in touch in order to get a 'petition id'.
I initially didn't bother as I was pretty sure I had no money in my UB account when it got shut down. But at the last minute I decided it would be foolish not to double check I've decided to let them keep the 4 cents I have now discovered was my closing balance. London Colin , Sep 7, I would take pleasure in forcing them to spend much more than that to get the 4 cents to me. My balance was definitely worth pursuing. I had given up on ever getting any of it back 5 years ago. Assuming all players are equally skilled you would expect The probability of luck this good or better is 1 in 1.
Still, could it still just be chip dumping, or playing very bad players? The playback, in my opinion, shows otherwise. Yet, when he was hopelessly outmatched, even with good cards, he laid them down. For example, in hand 80, he had king-queen off-suit but folded pre-flop against a player with pocket aces. When he had the best hand, he always raised. Never once did he call on the river. If you know poker, it is almost impossible to watch the playback and have any doubt that something is terribly fishy.
There is no camouflage, or smoothing things over, at all. Even his handle betrays what he is doing. As they say, you can shear a sheep many times, but you can only slaughter it once. The story doesn't end here. As told in the bulletin boards, and in this New York Times blog, one of the lurkers had an address that matched those of an alleged part-owner of Absolute Poker named Scott Tom.
On October 17 Absolute related a statement, which is posted at the New York Times Freakonomics blog , that they are taking the allegations seriously, and have hired Gaming Associates, a third-party auditor, to conduct an investigation. This statement is conveniently missing from the list of press releases listed at their own web site. I'm always one to give both sides a chance to be heard. I also make no claims that the evidence provided to me was not tampered with, for example cherry-picking hands that made the best case.
So once the results of this investigation are completed, I will be happy to post them here. Meanwhile, in the interests of fair play, I will link to a blog entry by Justin West at pokerpages. Until the Gaming Associates investigation is completed, I will refrain from pronouncing a verdict.
If the link to Justin's article doesn't work, I maintained this copy. The article quotes a company spokesman saying,. He played on those accounts and he saw hole cards. A written statement was released shortly afterward. Four days later a more detailed statement was issued by the Kahnawake Gaming Commission. The confession comes when any reasonable doubt was vanishing fast, and the mainstream media started to take an interest. Is it just a coincidence?
The Wizard of Odds.